FUN WITH "WHAT IF... ?"
I also posted this as a comment on Political Moose, a very enjoyable weblog you can find at http://politicalmoose.blogspot.com/.
I think the GOP will do a fine job dividing itself sooner or later! The party is too fractious as it is.
How's this for a scenario: I think the religious right will eventually split from the fiscal conservative right. Bush will be what causes this to happen, as he makes many of his decisions strictly on "gut feelings", "instinct", or "faith". As the Republican party, led by Bush veers further into fundamentalist Christianity territory, and as the economy continues to flounder, the fiscals will say "enough is enough" and there will be a huge ideological split in the party. The evangelical factor would then become the "fringe party" and collect about 15-25% of the vote. The fiscals would get another 30-35% and the Democrats might get as much as 45-50%. People such as Rush Limbaugh and Sean Hannity would end up spending most of their time trying to reunite the right wing instead of bashing the "liberals". This would invite further squabbling between the two factions, causing their chances of getting back together to be virtually nil.
This might happen with the Democrats and the Greens eventually, too. Gee, we might eventually have to have something like a coalition government or a parliament.
Anyway, I believe that as the nation becomes more divided, people will get fed up with it and will start looking more seriously at political alternatives. If Bush and Rove et al have had a goal of eradicating bipartisan politics, they are doing a fine job achieving their goal... although I think it will come back to bite them on the butt when their beloved party splits into pieces.
I think the GOP will do a fine job dividing itself sooner or later! The party is too fractious as it is.
How's this for a scenario: I think the religious right will eventually split from the fiscal conservative right. Bush will be what causes this to happen, as he makes many of his decisions strictly on "gut feelings", "instinct", or "faith". As the Republican party, led by Bush veers further into fundamentalist Christianity territory, and as the economy continues to flounder, the fiscals will say "enough is enough" and there will be a huge ideological split in the party. The evangelical factor would then become the "fringe party" and collect about 15-25% of the vote. The fiscals would get another 30-35% and the Democrats might get as much as 45-50%. People such as Rush Limbaugh and Sean Hannity would end up spending most of their time trying to reunite the right wing instead of bashing the "liberals". This would invite further squabbling between the two factions, causing their chances of getting back together to be virtually nil.
This might happen with the Democrats and the Greens eventually, too. Gee, we might eventually have to have something like a coalition government or a parliament.
Anyway, I believe that as the nation becomes more divided, people will get fed up with it and will start looking more seriously at political alternatives. If Bush and Rove et al have had a goal of eradicating bipartisan politics, they are doing a fine job achieving their goal... although I think it will come back to bite them on the butt when their beloved party splits into pieces.
2 Comments:
Aha, great minds do indeed think alike,
My politico friends have been debating the same issue, the fracture of the GOP into two distinct elements.
I'm sure that the GOP stalwarts would like to see Dubya step aside [he won't win this one].
I'm guessing that the GOP is going to have to do one hell of a repair job on itself after this one.
Funny... yet not so when you're [pl]
cast-outta Seventh-Heaven. Wanna looky?
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