Saturday, October 02, 2004

Wonderful item from msn.com

I love reading this. I like to read it over and over again. This is the kind of news I like to read. Because it's very, very good news. That's why I like it!

WEB EXCLUSIVE
By Brian Braiker
Newsweek
Updated: 6:04 p.m. ET Oct. 2, 2004

Oct. 2 - With a solid majority of voters concluding that John Kerry outperformed George W. Bush in the first presidential debate on Thursday, the president’s lead in the race for the White House has vanished, according to the latest NEWSWEEK poll. In the first national telephone poll using a fresh sample, NEWSWEEK found the race now statistically tied among all registered voters, 47 percent of whom say they would vote for Kerry and 45 percent for George W. Bush in a three-way race.

Removing Independent candidate Ralph Nader, who draws 2 percent of the vote, widens the Kerry-Edwards lead to three points with 49 percent of the vote versus the incumbent’s 46 percent. Four weeks ago the Republican ticket, coming out of a successful convention in New York, enjoyed an 11-point lead over Kerry-Edwards with Bush pulling 52 percent of the vote and the challenger just 41 percent.

Among the three-quarters (74 percent) of registered voters who say they watched at least some of Thursday’s debate, 61 percent see Kerry as the clear winner, 19 percent pick Bush as the victor and 16 percent call it a draw. After weeks of being portrayed as a verbose “flip-flopper” by Republicans, Kerry did better than a majority (56 percent) had expected. Only about 11 percent would say the same for the president’s performance while more than one-third (38 percent) said the incumbent actually did worse that they had expected. Thirty-nine percent of Republicans felt their man out-debated the challenger but a full third (33 percent) say they felt Kerry won.

Kerry’s perceived victory may be attributed to the fact that, by a wide margin (62 percent to 26 percent), debate watchers felt the senator came across as more confident than the president. More than half (56 percent) also see Kerry has having a better command of the facts than Bush (37 percent). As a result, the challenger’s favorability ratings (52 percent, versus 40 percent unfavorable) are better than Bush’s, who at 49 percent (and 46 percent unfavorable), has dipped below the halfway mark for the first time since July. Kerry, typically characterized as aloof and out of touch by his opponents, came across as more personally likeable than Bush (47 percent to the president’s 41 percent).

In fact, Kerry’s numbers have improved across the board, while Bush’s vulnerabilities have become more pronounced. The senator is seen as more intelligent and well-informed (80 percent, up six points over last month, compared to Bush’s steady 59 percent); as having strong leadership skills (56 percent, also up 6 points, but still less than Bush’s 62 percent) and as someone who can be trusted to make the right calls in an international crisis (51 percent, up five points and tied with Bush).

Meanwhile, Bush’s approval ratings have dropped to below the halfway mark (46 percent) for the first time since the GOP convention in late August. Nearly half of all voters (48 percent) say they do not want to see Bush re-elected, while 46 percent say they do. Still, a majority of voters (55 percent versus 29 percent) believe the president will be re-hired on Nov. 2."

(The rest of the article is available at http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/6159637/site/newsweek/ )

Wonderful, wonderful, wonderful! Except for that last bit... what are people thinking? We will see if that last opinion trends the other way after the next debates!

3 Comments:

Blogger J. Marquis said...

It seems like a lot of people are really hesitant to predict upsets, whether it be politics or sports or whatever. For whatever reason, they're just scared they'll end up looking foolish if they go out on a limb and end up being wrong. A LOT of Seahawk fans fit into that category.

I've come to believe in faith. Not necessarily a religious faith but at least some sort of positive energy or momentum. I've seen it work time and time again, especially with underdogs in sports.

I think Americans love underdogs and comebacks. We were born as a nation of underdogs. That's why I think Kerry and Edwards will win this election. Some of it will be because people finally understand what Kerry stands for, some of it will be because Bush seems to be having a meltdown and some of it will be because Americans love that rush you get watching the tide turn against the establishment.

I predict each debate (including the vp one) will chip away at the numbers and put the Johns solidly in the lead.

12:30 PM  
Blogger Ms Liberty said...

I think the Newsweek and USA Today polls have been full of shit all along. Bush never had an eleven point lead. He's a loser, and it's time for the corporate media to face up to it.

1:03 PM  
Blogger Snave said...

I'd love it if the media quit giving Bush a free ride. If we really had a "liberal media", Bush would already be done. With all his inflexibility, his Bushisms, and mishandling of virtually all U.S. policies, wouldn't a "liberal media" just be ROASTING the guy?

2:38 PM  

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