Tuesday, October 19, 2004

REMEMBER, DON'T WORRY ABOUT THE POLLS...

Remember, don't worry about the polls... especially when the poll questions are being asked of "likely voters". Bush may be shown as the leader in several new polls, but the results are often prefaced with "When likely voters were asked..."

These are voters who have voted before, and who therefore are believed likely to vote again. These polls don't take into account the vast numbers of people who are newly registered, and I have to believe many of these are young people who registered because they can see what Bush and his friends are doing to the country... and they're worried about the future. If the number of new voters who signed up because they're angry with Bush is sufficiently greater than the new ones who signed up because they've been told to be afraid of Kerry... then the election could be much closer than polls might suggest.

We also need to remember the margins of error. If a poll says Bush is ahead, but is only ahead by 1-3 percentage points, that indicates a statistical tie.

As much as the "liberal media" tries to indicate that Bush is the "leader", we all need to be mindful of the newly registered voters. They are the ones who may really be the deciding factor this time! Go kids, go! The future is yours!!

3 Comments:

Blogger J. Marquis said...

Another factor (and I think this may end being huge) is that pollsters don't call cellphone numbers. Many young first-time voters only have cellphones so they aren't being counted.

7:38 PM  
Blogger J. Marquis said...

Another factor (and I think this may end being huge) is that pollsters don't call cellphone numbers. Many young first-time voters only have cellphones so they aren't being counted.

7:38 PM  
Blogger Snave said...

In both cases, I agree 100%.

9:53 AM  

Post a Comment

<< Home

RichardDawkins.net