Thursday, July 25, 2013

HMMM... THIS SOUNDS KIND OF FAMILIAR...


"WITH AN AUSTERE GOVERNMENT, WE WILL WIN THE TRUST OF THE PEOPLE AND BRING THEM BENEFITS.  TO ALLOW PEOPLE TO LIVE WELL, THE GOVERNMENT MUST TIGHTEN ITS BELT."

Now who was it that said this?

Paul Ryan?  

Mitt Romney?  

Certainly it must have been someone from the Republican party, or maybe one of the "tea party" people?

No, wait!  I know who it was!

I was in a waiting room at the hospital last week and picked up a magazine, and saw that quote in there!

The magazine was called "NewsChina", and the person who said those words was Chinese Premier Li Keqiang!

Imagine that...  

Friday, July 19, 2013

SHOULD HE HAVE OR SHOULDN'T HE HAVE?


Well, conservatives will just about unanimously say President Obama shouldn't have made his comments today on the George Zimmerman trial and on racism in general, and this is primarily because nowadays  they pretty much unanimously hate Obama (if they didn't unanimously hate him before he even became president).
I'm hearing lots of things in the news today like "He's supposed to be the president of all Americans, not just black Americans", "He is making stereotype comments about white people", and "He's injecting himself into something he shouldn't be", "If he wants to have a discussion about racism why is he lecturing us on it", etc.  And maybe there can be arguments made for some of those points.

But as usual, he addressed issues within larger contexts and looked at the bigger picture.  This is something with which his opponents continue to struggle, and it is illustrative of how both right and left have concerns for the county as I see it; the right's concerns relate more to the individual's rights, while the left is more concerned about getting individuals to work together.  It would sure be wonderful if there was a way to get those two view to unite.

I was listening to AM radio the other day and had the Sean Hannity show on for a while.  All Hannity's callers wanted to talk about was race, and about how the left is to blame for all the talk about race.  I tuned to another station, and the Pacific Northwest's own conservative talker Lars Larson's show was on...  and guess what all his callers wanted to talk about?   It would have been amusing it it hadn't been so sad.

This represents a far cry from what I hear some of my conservative friends saying, which is basically "We don't have to talk about race anymore.  We live in a post-racist society, and only liberals talk about racism."

I would disagree with any assertion that racism no longer exists, and I applaud Obama for bringing up a difficult and uncomfortable topic.  I perceive that his aim was not to divide society further, as many conservatives will tell you, but rather to provide some perspective and give an opening for more open discussions.  It's a difficult subject, and while his opponents want to talk about it a lot as a way to try and denigrate him or bring him down, they want to ignore as a reality.  Obama doesn't want the country to ignore racism, he wants the country to get over it.  

While many conservatives want to talk about race, they don't want the president to join the discussion.  Well, he spoke.  Not that what he said is going to shut any of them up...  far from it.  Race is all they are going to talk about now for the next three years.  They will continue to harp on this, and will even suggest that Obama shouldn't be allowed to exercise his rights and express his opinions like the rest of us get to.  

As I see it, Obama had a message for young black men in America, and that was a variation on "I feel your pain".  When he was a youth, maybe he didn't have it as bad as some young men in our country might have it ...  who knows?  But from his personal experience he does have some understanding of the pain and frustration that goes with dealing with what he suggests is the prism from through which many of us see the world.  It's the "context" thing he was talking about.    

Also, with no thanks to the Republican House and others, Obama is looking like a lame duck president.  Conservatives can rejoice about this if they like, but it means he can pretty much do and say what he wants, so they ought to be careful with their wishes.  Today he felt like joining in with his comments, whether or not people wanted him to.

I'm certainly OK with him making comments like he did today.  He can speak to various segments of our society if he feels like it, but because I do believe he is a racist, I believe he was speaking to all of us today. For what it's worth, ultimately, I don't think this will hurt the Democratic Party's chances of getting their presidential candidate elected in 2016 because I think the things he said today will resonate with more Americans than the conservatives' endless anti-Obama commentaries (which are all the GOP has to run on these days anyway).

What is happening to young men in America is itself a tragedy, regardless of the color of their skin.  Young men aren't finishing high school at the same rates as they used to, and they are underemployed.  More needs to be done to keep our young men vital.  While he mentioned young black men, what he said applies to all.  He said that communities and churches ought to be the leaders in finding solutions, and that this would be more effective than government intervention.  He spoke from the heart on this subject.  

And he is right to say that the young people of America "are better on these issues" than people in his age group.  I don't think we will be able to eliminate racism in America in my lifetime, but I agree with the president when he says kids today have more sense about these things.  I have hope for our future, and that in another generation or so America may not have to endure the kind of frustration and acrimony our country has gone through in the wake of the Zimmerman trial and subsequent verdict.  

Accepting responsibility as a community and working together to change things is the only way out.  Our young people aren't entrenched in their views like so many of our adults tend to be.  Their minds tend to be more open, and they're more willing to try on the other guy's shoes.  So, the future is wide open.  Let's lead our youth by example, and work together to solve problems.  It's the way Americans fix problems, so let's get to work on it and leave the naysayers in the dust.

And thanks to the president for his reminders that the job isn't done and that there is still lots of work to do.  I think what he did today was necessary, because I think it's time for America to wake up.


Thursday, July 18, 2013

SEATTLE MARINERS MID-SEASON UPDATE: IT'S DEFINITELY NOT MORE OF THE SAME OLD DOOM AND GLOOM


Raul Ibanez

The All-Star break is over and it's time to take stock of how the Seattle Mariners are doing this season, what they might do at the July 31 trading deadline, and where they are headed.

As of today the Mariners are 43-52, which makes for a winning percentage of .453.  With 67 games remaining, it doesn't look like the M's are in any shape to improve a whole lot on last year's record of 77-85.  To simply match that, they would have to go 34-33 the rest of the way.

As those hopeful, diehard Mariner fans (such as yours truly) always like to say, "It isn't all bad."  But this time, I actually believe it when I say it:  It ISN'T all bad.

When Jack Zduriencik was named General Manager five seasons ago, he inherited a mess created by his predecessor Bill Bavasi.  Bavasi made a series of ill-advised trades that decimated the Mariners' farm system, and he made some pretty bad free agent signings.  So how have things been different under Zduriencik?

First of all, Zduriencik was hired to rebuild Seattle's minor league system.  The Mariners brought him in because they liked his record of finding and drafting talented young players when he was working for the Milwaukee Brewers.  Over the past five years, and aided by the able eye of scouting director Tom McNamara, "Z" has managed to restock the Mariners minors to the point that they are consistently ranked as one of the better minor league systems in baseball.  Where he has run into difficulty is providing fans with a quality product on the major league field.

Zduriencik has been hit-or-miss with his trades, and he has made some questionable free-agent signings.  His record has not been stellar in those areas.  But when taken in light of what many experts agree is a five-years-or-more timetable for success in most situations when an organization is pretty much being rebulit from scratch, he hasn't done too badly.  Part of his objective has been to do the best the M's can do at bringing in some spare parts to fill in while the kids in the minors get ready for the majors.

He might have done a better job of putting a major-league-quality team on the field during his first five years, and it's hard to argue against that.  And some of the problem the past couple of years is that he has not brought in enough decent veteran players, causing the team to rely too much on unproven young players such as Dustin Ackley (drafted by the Mariners) and Justin Smoak (acquired from the Texas Rangers in trade).  Michael Saunders has also been somewhat of a disappointment.  Prior to this season and as recently as early May, of the young players acquired by Zduriencik, only regular third baseman Kyle Seager was doing as well as the team had hoped.

Nick Franklin 

But the new crop of kids looks like cause for celebration.   Seager adapted quickly to the majors, and it looks like new second baseman Nick Franklin is on the same kind of track.  Brad Miller appears to be the heir apparent to the shortstop position.   That makes up three fourths of their infield, and as a bonus this season, Smoak is beginning to hit.  He has improved his knowledge of the strike zone, increased his patience at the plate, and is now beginning to drive in runs.  Smoak, Franklin, Miller and Seager look to be your Mariners infield for the rest of this season and possibly for some seasons to come.  All four of them can field the ball adequately, and they look like they will all develop into more than adequate hitters.

Mike Zunino 

Mike Zunino is the new catcher.  Chosen by the Mariners in the first round of last year's draft, he is still very raw when it comes to hitting.  Nonetheless, he is already giving the Mariners the same level of production they were getting from Jesus Montero and Kelly Shoppach when they sent Montero to the minors and designated Shoppach for assignment.  Zunino's defensive skills look good; in fact in comparison to Montero, it is now like night and day when it comes to pitches getting blocked and throwing out would-be base-stealers.  He has lots of work to do, but he should learn pretty quickly.

Dustin Ackley was a hit when he first came up from the minors two seasons ago, but last year he struggled.  The league made adjustments on him, and he still has not quite figured out how to adjust back.  Originally an outfielder and first baseman in college, the Mariners had him learn to play second base.  He took to the new position remarkably well and played Gold Glove caliber defense there last season but still had a hard time hitting his way out of a paper bag.  Now he is back in the outfield, playing in center field as he slowly starts to increase his hitting skills.  Only time will tell there.

But the kids aren't the only thing providing fans with some excitement this season.  Last winter Zduriencik added some veterans who have helped.  Raul Ibanez, at age 41, has been a revelation.  Kendrys Morales has done well as a designated hitter and first baseman, Jason Bay has filled in admirably at times in the outfield, Endy Chavez has been a valuable backup outfielder.  Right fielder Michael Morse provided some home-run electricity early this seaosn, but he has been injured too much to be of great value to the team lately.  Nonetheless the team has been scoring runs and playing very competitive baseball.

The team is riding a sweep of the Los Angeles Angels as it begins the final 67 games.  The kids are making their presence known.  Ibanez is having a career year as he provides clubhouse leadership and serves as a valuable mentor to the young players.  Attendance is up slightly from last season.  Now, with the July 31 trading deadline approaching, what will the Mariners do?

Probably not a whole lot.

Trades often bring prospect players back, but right now the Mariners do not need more prospects.  Thanks to Zduriencik and McNamara's work, they now have plenty of prospects in their own farm system.  Look for the names Taijuan Walker (P), Danny Hultzen (P), Brian Moran (P), Stefen Romero (IF/OF), Victor Sanchez (P), Tyler Pike (P), and Ji-Man Choi (1B/DH) to move up in the ranks during the next couple of seasons.

What they need is some help in their outfield.  Do they have the trade bait this year to bring back players who can help the rest of this season and beyond?  Possibly.   Several of their players are pretty highly sought-after, and those include reliever Oliver Perez, starting pitcher Joe Saunders, and Kendrys Morales.  Others who could be dealt might include Michael Morse (OF) and SS Brendan Ryan.

They also need some help with their pitching staff.  Felix Hernandez is a great starting pitcher, one of the best in the game.  Hisashi Iwakuma, named to this year's American League All-Star team with Felix, is a very capable #2 guy in the rotation.  Joe Saunders is #3, and he has pitched very well over his last 7-8 starts.  Aaron Harang has not helped the rotation much, and the M's have not had any luck finding a capable fifth starter yet... so they have about half of a good rotation.  Erasmo Ramirez could help solve that problem soon if he has fully recovered from an injury that kept him out of action for a while.  While young Brandon Maurer showed a lot of promise at the beginning of the season, but wasn't ready for the majors.  He is in Tacoma now, and I suspect he will be back at some point either this season or next.  Walker and Hultzen are waiting in the wings, also both in Tacoma.  So there could be in-house help on the horizon.

And in the bullpen, Perez has been the only sure thing this year.  Youngster Carter Capps has a fastball that can touch 100 mph but he proved he needed more time in the minors and was recently demoted to AAA Tacoma.  Young reliever Steven Pryor has been on the DL most of the year (but should be back soon); he is another flame-thrower, like Capps.  Left-handed hitters are batting way below .200 against lefty reliever Charlie Furbush, and that has been helpful.   Usually-reliable closer Tom Wilhelmsen went through an inexplicably awful month of June, but appears to be returning to form.  The pitching staff could use some solidifying and could use a few new faces.  Look for young lefty reliever Brian Moran (now in AAA) to make his major league debut between now and the end of the season.  So help could be on the way for the bullpen too.

But Zduriencik has made it known that he "won't be the aggressor" when it comes to making deals between now and July 31.  In other words, he is quite willing to sit back and let himself be wowed by an offer or two.  Someone will have to offer a really good return for him to trade away M's players.

I know, I know, many of you who have followed the M's over the years know about what is practically a tradition and love to bring it up in conversation:  players from the Mariners go on to become superstars when traded to other teams, the Mariners don't hang on to their good players, their rookie players are always busts, etc.  Well...  if you are still living in the Bill Bavasi era, those points might hold a lot more water than they do now.  Aside from Zduriencik's trade of starting pitcher Doug Fister to the Detroit Tigers for a bag of nothing a couple of years ago, and maybe his trade of young pitcher Michael Pineda to the Yankees for young catcher/DH Jesus Montero, I'm not sure his trades have been all that bad.  He has held onto the team's best young players, too.  Let's see if what Zduriencik does now and during the winter will give some proof of this.  

So, I think if the M's don't make any moves in ten days or so it won't really be a big deal.  They're sitting on what looks like a pretty good situation right now.  If they don't make trades now, they can always do some dealing during the winter.  And in fact, it may be more important right now to just keep as many of their most useful players as they can, so they can have a chance to finish this year with their sense of optimism more or less intact.

Can they finish .500 this year?  To go 81-81 they would need to go 38-29 over their last 67 games.  That may not be easy for them to do, but the way things are beginning to trend (with Smoak starting to hit and drive in runs, with the new kids in the infield providing spark, with a natural young team leader like Zunino behind the plate, and with the prospects of helpful outfielders Franklin Gutierrez and Morse coming back soon from the DL), you just don't know what might happen.

Kendrys Morales

Ibanez and Morales are both free agents at the end of the season, and while most free agents don't want to come to play for the Mariners, these two guys seem to enjoy playing here.  I hope the M's don't trade either one, and I hope both will re-sign with the team for 2014.  If they bring those two guys back, if they keep their young infield, if Zunino and Ackley continue to learn to hit, and if they can bring in a good starting pitcher and a couple of decent and dependable outfielders either now or over the winter... look out for them next season.  They're already pushing the vaunted Los Angeles Angels for third place in the American League West Division.

It;s true, third place isn't much to brag about, and playing .453 ball suggests little more than mediocrity.  But I believe there is finally some magic afoot at Safeco Field and in the Mariners organization.

I'll revisit this later, at the end of the season.  By then, Mariners fans will have a much better idea of where the team sits as it prepares for next year.  But things are trending in a good direction, and the light at the end of the tunnel is no longer the headlamp of an oncoming train.

 
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